Navigating geopolitical turbulence: Strategies for strengthening supply chain resilience in South Africa’s maritime industry
Navigating geopolitical turbulence: Strategies for strengthening supply chain resilience in South Africa’s maritime industry
Author: S Tshona
ISSN: 2521-5442
Affiliations: PhD candidate Renmin University of China
Source: Journal of Ocean Law and Governance in Africa, 2025, p. 1 – 23
https://doi.org/10.47348/JOGA/2025/a1
Abstract
In an era characterised by escalating conflicts and geopolitical volatility, the global maritime industry faces unprecedented challenges that threaten its operational continuity and strategic significance. This paper aims to examine the imperative of protecting the maritime value chain amidst multifaceted threats, with a specific focus on policy perspectives essential for safeguarding the industry’s future. Utilising a comprehensive research approach, this study integrates qualitative analysis of contemporary policy documents, case studies, and expert interviews to provide a nuanced exploration of the complex landscape surrounding maritime security and operational resilience. By analysing the interplay of geopolitical dynamics, regulatory frameworks, and technological advancements, the research seeks to elucidate strategies and frameworks aimed at fortifying the industry against emergent risks and vulnerabilities. The structure of the paper is designed to facilitate a systematic examination of key issues and policy imperatives shaping the maritime domain, with a specific and deliberate focus on South Africa’s maritime industry. The introductory section sets the context by outlining both the global and South African geopolitical dynamics, highlighting how shifts in regional power, trade routes, and security alliances directly influence South Africa’s strategic maritime interests. By anchoring the discussion in South Africa’s unique position situated along critical sea lanes, operating major ports, and serving as a gateway to the African continent the introduction establishes the national relevance of the study. Subsequent sections provide a detailed analysis of the diverse threats confronting the South African maritime value chain, including piracy in the Mozambique Channel, maritime terrorism risks, illicit trafficking along the Western and Eastern seaboards, geopolitical rivalries affecting the Indian and Atlantic Oceans, and environmental hazards that impact South African ports, fisheries, and coastal communities. Each theme is contextualised within South Africa’s maritime governance architecture, industry vulnerabilities, and policy limitations. This approach ensures that the proposed framework is not merely global in orientation but is directly responsive to the realities and challenges shaping South Africa’s maritime security, economic resilience, and blue economy development. Drawing upon contemporary literature and empirical evidence, the paper critically evaluates existing policy frameworks and institutional mechanisms designed to address maritime security challenges, while also identifying gaps and areas for improvement. Through comparative analysis and examination of best practices, the study explains pathways for enhancing international cooperation, regulatory compliance, and technological innovation to mitigate risks and supports the resilience of the maritime industry. In conclusion, the paper integrates key insights and proposes a holistic policy framework aimed at enhancing the protection and sustainability of the maritime value chain in an increasingly volatile geopolitical environment. Emphasising the importance of multilateralism, regulatory coherence, and capacity-building initiatives, the proposed framework seeks to empower stakeholders to navigate the complex challenges confronting the maritime sector with resilience and foresight.